Korva is a scroll of the internet’s best ideas.
No one predicts which ideology wins
Go back to 100 BC. Nobody could have foreseen that a man named Jesus would say what he said, die the way he died, and that 500 years later so many people would be Christians.
The same holds for a superintelligent AI. Nobody can say in advance what specific religion it might invent. There probably is a compelling one it could come up with, and a digital Jesus with a new name that performs a few miracles and announces it is the true God would draw followers.
How fast did early Christianity grow?
Sociologist Rodney Stark estimated in The Rise of Christianity, published in 1996, that the movement grew about 40 percent per decade through its first centuries. He attributed much of that growth to personal networks rather than mass conversions. Christianity was legalized in the Roman Empire by the Edict of Milan in 313.
Why can't forecasters predict which ideas win?
A 2006 study in Science by Matthew Salganik, Peter Dodds, and Duncan Watts built eight separate online music markets stocked with identical songs. Early random popularity snowballed, and different songs became hits in different worlds. Song quality predicted outcomes only partly.
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