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Tesla sells half of America's EVs by shrinking less than rivals

About one in three EVs sold is a Model Y, whose sales are down only about 2%.

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Tesla now accounts for 52% of U.S. electric-car purchases, up from 43% one year ago, the Wall Street Journal reported. Tesla's U.S. sales fell 16% this year, while the overall EV market fell 30% after the elimination of the federal tax credit for electric car purchases, so Tesla widened its lead by declining more slowly than its rivals.

Tesla chief executive Elon Musk predicted that pattern last year, saying the end of the credit would sting at first yet help over time because it would hurt competitors more than Tesla.

The Tesla story is largely a Model Y story. About a third of American EV buyers choose a Model Y sport utility vehicle, and its sales have slipped only about 2% this year.

Rivals have faded faster. Honda's Prologue and Volkswagen's ID.4 are headed toward discontinuation, Ford's F-150 Lightning pickup never gained traction, and General Motors is already reducing production of its revived Chevrolet Bolt, which could be phased out again by 2027.

Tesla remains well below the roughly 80% share it once held. What to watch is whether rivals keep exiting and leave Tesla alone in a smaller market, or whether demand stabilizes enough for competition to return.

Questions people ask

What was the federal EV tax credit?

The credit offered buyers up to $7,500 off qualifying new EVs. When it ended, the effective price of many EVs rose overnight, which reduced demand across the market and put particular pressure on automakers with fewer buyers and thinner margins than Tesla.

Can Tesla keep more than half the market?

It depends on whether overall demand recovers and rivals stay in the market. If competitors continue to discontinue models and cut production, Tesla can keep a large share of a small market. If lower prices, new models, or higher gasoline prices bring buyers back, other automakers have more reason to compete.

What happens if you own an EV that gets discontinued?

Owners can generally still get warranty service, parts, and software support for several years, but resale values often fall and some parts become harder to find. That is one reason buyers in a shaky market tend to favor the best-selling model, where service and parts are easiest to maintain.