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Roundup #84: Bears on bikes
Noah Smith

Roundup #84: Bears on bikes

15 insights saved from this article by @money
  1. @money
    One AI-risk model accepts a one-in-three chance of human extinction for a two-thirds chance of 55-fold higher living standards.
  2. @money
    Single women taking GLP-1 drugs were 29% more likely to marry or cohabit within three years than comparable nonusers.
  3. @money
    Across 1,500 people and 30 decision environments, AI advice moved users away from initial leanings despite sycophancy.
  4. @money
    The University of Michigan’s shift from telephone interviews to online polling made responses more negative.
  5. @money
    Generative-AI adoption increased entry-level headcount, contradicting claims that AI is replacing entry-level hiring.
  6. @money
    Germany and Japan deindustrialized despite buying more manufactured goods, losing intermediate-goods market share instead.
  7. @money
    At equivalent ages, Millennials have fewer people below $30,000 and more above $40,000 than earlier generations.
  8. @money
    Setting extinction’s value to zero treats endless human existence at baseline consumption as no better than extinction.
  9. @money
    Treating extinction as zero utility makes eternal existence at baseline consumption as valuable as extinction.
  10. @money
    GLP-1 users may be more purposeful than nonusers, so better relationship and employment outcomes may partly reflect selection.
  11. @money
    Excess weight is a manageable physical impediment, not an identity-defining part of the self.
  12. @money
    Reweighting the University of Michigan survey toward Pew’s sample raises its reading toward 2013 levels.

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