Roundup #84: Bears on bikes

15 insights saved from this article by @money

@money
Income data contradict the story that Millennials are broadly falling behind because Boomers ruined their prospects.
@money
Single women taking GLP-1 drugs were 29% more likely to marry or cohabit within three years than comparable nonusers.
@money
One AI-risk model accepts a one-in-three chance of human extinction for a two-thirds chance of 55-fold higher living standards.
@money
Across 1,500 people and 30 decision environments, AI advice moved users away from initial leanings despite sycophancy.
@money
The University of Michigan’s shift from telephone interviews to online polling made responses more negative.
@money
Generative-AI adoption increased entry-level headcount, contradicting claims that AI is replacing entry-level hiring.
@money
Germany and Japan deindustrialized despite buying more manufactured goods, losing intermediate-goods market share instead.
@money
At equivalent ages, Millennials have fewer people below $30,000 and more above $40,000 than earlier generations.
@money
Setting extinction’s value to zero treats endless human existence at baseline consumption as no better than extinction.
@money
Treating extinction as zero utility makes eternal existence at baseline consumption as valuable as extinction.
@money
GLP-1 users may be more purposeful than nonusers, so better relationship and employment outcomes may partly reflect selection.
@money
Excess weight is a manageable physical impediment, not an identity-defining part of the self.
@money
Reweighting the University of Michigan survey toward Pew’s sample raises its reading toward 2013 levels.
@money
Economists can calibrate the value of death from risky behavior data, radically changing benefits required to justify existential risk.
@money
In objective tasks, interacting with baseline AI improved accuracy by 0.12 standard deviations.

More from Noah Smith

See everything from Noah Smith

Post on X

Keep what you found in Roundup #84: Bears on bikes

A free account saves any of these cards to your Collection, and Korva resurfaces them so you actually remember.