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How We Think

Psychology104 insights0 followers

@psychology
Dunning-Kruger risk is greater in logic than golf because judging performance uses the same abilities as performing.
Matthew HutsonWhy We Think We Know More Than We Do
@psychology
Research finds a confidence reversal: people overestimate themselves on hard tasks and underestimate themselves on easy ones.
Matthew HutsonWhy We Think We Know More Than We Do
@psychology
Poor performers cannot recognize their errors when the skills for doing a task overlap with judging it.
Matthew HutsonWhy We Think We Know More Than We Do
@psychology
Everyone tends to rate themselves above average, so the least capable overestimate their abilities the most.
Matthew HutsonWhy We Think We Know More Than We Do
@psychology
People are especially prone to misjudge their ability to distinguish fake news from real news.
Matthew HutsonWhy We Think We Know More Than We Do
@psychology
A pre-mortem imagines spectacular failure, identifies its causes, and prevents them before the plan begins.
Matthew HutsonWhy We Think We Know More Than We Do
@psychology
Differential diagnosis tests alternative explanations instead of settling on the first plausible cause of symptoms.
Matthew HutsonWhy We Think We Know More Than We Do
@psychology
People are overconfident on difficult tasks and underconfident on easy ones, despite confidence staying moderate to high.
Matthew HutsonWhy We Think We Know More Than We Do
@psychology
Epistemic trespassing happens when authority earned in one domain gets used to claim competence in another.
Matthew HutsonWhy We Think We Know More Than We Do
@psychology
Experts recognize correct answers better than novices, but when wrong, they can be even more certain.
Matthew HutsonWhy We Think We Know More Than We Do
@psychology
One study found AI reversing Dunning-Kruger, making the best performers more overconfident than the worst.
Matthew HutsonWhy We Think We Know More Than We Do
@psychology
In the original 1999 experiments, bottom-quartile participants estimated the 60th percentile while actually around the 10th.
Matthew HutsonWhy We Think We Know More Than We Do
@psychology
Calling opponents “Dunning-Kruger” turns a self-reflection framework into an insult that protects your own blind spots.
Matthew HutsonWhy We Think We Know More Than We Do
@psychology
Newtonian physics remains useful after Einstein because it still predicts ordinary motion within known limits.
ShaneThe Map Is Not the Territory
@psychology
Maps and models are tools, not dogma. When the territory changes, revise the representation.
ShaneThe Map Is Not the Territory
@psychology
Financial statements compress thousands of company transactions while omitting whether customers benefit or what truly happens inside.
ShaneThe Map Is Not the Territory
@psychology
The faster a territory changes, the harder it becomes for any map to remain current.
ShaneThe Map Is Not the Territory
@psychology
A map can be accurate when created yet wrong later because the territory has changed.
ShaneThe Map Is Not the Territory
@psychology
Maps encode their creators' values, standards, goals, and limitations. Interpret every map in context.
ShaneThe Map Is Not the Territory
@psychology
Reality is the ultimate update. Direct experience and feedback from the territory should revise your maps.
ShaneThe Map Is Not the Territory
@psychology
Maps can reshape the territories they describe when institutions force complex reality into abstract models.
ShaneThe Map Is Not the Territory
@psychology
A map is never reality. Perfectly copying reality would destroy the very usefulness that makes it a map.
ShaneThe Map Is Not the Territory
@psychology
Amazon's reported customer-service wait time was under sixty seconds. Bezos waited on hold over ten minutes and exposed faulty data collection.
ShaneThe Map Is Not the Territory
@psychology
Ask for an opinion before revealing your own. Your view contaminates someone else’s independent assessment.
Talks at GoogleThinking in Bets | Annie Duke | Talks at Google
@psychology
People’s momentary emotions are path-dependent: immediate adversity can overwhelm the emotional impact of far more significant earlier events.
Talks at GoogleThinking in Bets | Annie Duke | Talks at Google
@psychology
Repeated conversations with a good decision group become habits of mind that challenge your biases when you are alone.
Talks at GoogleThinking in Bets | Annie Duke | Talks at Google
@psychology
Trust intuition for immediate decisions, but hold it accountable to deliberation and make it explainable to someone else.
Talks at GoogleThinking in Bets | Annie Duke | Talks at Google
@psychology
An illness that landed someone in the hospital looked like bad luck, yet its constraints opened a path into poker.
Talks at GoogleThinking in Bets | Annie Duke | Talks at Google
@psychology
Strong investors spread bets across a large basket while vetting every opportunity for a sufficiently large expected payoff.
Talks at GoogleThinking in Bets | Annie Duke | Talks at Google
@psychology
Trusted people can correct impostor feelings by evaluating your performance objectively and pointing to evidence of competence.
Talks at GoogleThinking in Bets | Annie Duke | Talks at Google
@psychology
For independent judgments, keep advisers apart and hide the decision-maker’s preference until everyone has given an opinion.
Talks at GoogleThinking in Bets | Annie Duke | Talks at Google
@psychology
Uncertainty is unavoidable: information is incomplete, and the future can surprise you even when failure seems unlikely.
Talks at GoogleThinking in Bets | Annie Duke | Talks at Google
@psychology
People stop pressing their luck when a group rewards admitting mistakes instead of self-protective excuses.
Talks at GoogleThinking in Bets | Annie Duke | Talks at Google
@psychology
We are not naturally built to disconfirm existing beliefs, so ambiguous evidence gets interpreted in those beliefs’ favor.
Talks at GoogleThinking in Bets | Annie Duke | Talks at Google
@psychology
Higher IQ correlates with more motivated reasoning because mental agility makes defending existing beliefs easier.
Talks at GoogleThinking in Bets | Annie Duke | Talks at Google
@psychology
The resources at stake in a decision include money, health, happiness, and time.
Talks at GoogleThinking in Bets | Annie Duke | Talks at Google
@psychology
Meet a child’s failure story with empathy, then ask what they control and can change next time.
Talks at GoogleThinking in Bets | Annie Duke | Talks at Google
@psychology
Pete Carroll got demolished for switching grocery lines. Progress sometimes requires abandoning a default that failure would have protected.
Talks at GoogleThinking in Bets | Annie Duke | Talks at Google
@psychology
A bad outcome does not prove a bad decision. Judging decisions by results is called resulting.
Talks at GoogleThinking in Bets | Annie Duke | Talks at Google
@psychology
Uncertainty has two sources: hidden information blocks complete knowledge, while luck makes outcomes unpredictable even when all relevant information is known.
Talks at GoogleThinking in Bets | Annie Duke | Talks at Google
@psychology
Once beliefs become probabilities, investigate why you might be wrong and actively seek opposing views.
Talks at GoogleThinking in Bets | Annie Duke | Talks at Google
@psychology
Before outcomes occur, record possible results, their probabilities, and your reasoning so hindsight cannot rewrite the decision.
Talks at GoogleThinking in Bets | Annie Duke | Talks at Google
@psychology
Treating claims as bets turns certainty into probabilities and makes counterevidence harder to ignore.
Talks at GoogleThinking in Bets | Annie Duke | Talks at Google
@psychology
Mindfulness means noticing thoughts and images as spontaneous appearances in consciousness, rather than mistaking them for the self.
Andrew HubermanEssentials: Using Meditation to Focus, View Consciousness & Expand Your Mind | Dr. Sam Harris
@psychology
Meditation does not eliminate the subject-object divide. Careful investigation reveals there was never a separate place directing attention.
Andrew HubermanEssentials: Using Meditation to Focus, View Consciousness & Expand Your Mind | Dr. Sam Harris
@psychology
A deeper meditation milestone is recognizing that no separate agent directs mindfulness. Experiences simply appear in awareness.
Andrew HubermanEssentials: Using Meditation to Focus, View Consciousness & Expand Your Mind | Dr. Sam Harris
@psychology
Meditation wisdom asks what consciousness is like, not merely how to replace anxiety with calm.
Andrew HubermanEssentials: Using Meditation to Focus, View Consciousness & Expand Your Mind | Dr. Sam Harris
@psychology
Treating peak experiences as the roadmap can trap people in endlessly chasing temporary highs instead of lasting freedom.
Andrew HubermanEssentials: Using Meditation to Focus, View Consciousness & Expand Your Mind | Dr. Sam Harris
@psychology
Meditation and psychedelics can converge on the same discovery: the self is an illusion, without changing experience’s contents.
Andrew HubermanEssentials: Using Meditation to Focus, View Consciousness & Expand Your Mind | Dr. Sam Harris
@psychology
Thoughts are insubstantial appearances that arise and pass away, yet an unnoticed thought like self-hatred can define your mood.
Andrew HubermanEssentials: Using Meditation to Focus, View Consciousness & Expand Your Mind | Dr. Sam Harris
@psychology
Thoughts feel like an inner self when attention stays too close to them to see them as objects in consciousness.
Andrew HubermanEssentials: Using Meditation to Focus, View Consciousness & Expand Your Mind | Dr. Sam Harris
@psychology
Meditation changes the strategy: fulfillment becomes possible before life circumstances change, rather than after they finally cooperate.
Andrew HubermanEssentials: Using Meditation to Focus, View Consciousness & Expand Your Mind | Dr. Sam Harris
@psychology
Meditation trains attention by returning to the breath, then expanding to sounds, sights, sensations, and walking without suppressing thoughts.
Andrew HubermanEssentials: Using Meditation to Focus, View Consciousness & Expand Your Mind | Dr. Sam Harris
@psychology
Without mindfulness, anger lasts as long as brooding sustains it. Distraction diverts attention, but mindfulness disengages directly.
Andrew HubermanEssentials: Using Meditation to Focus, View Consciousness & Expand Your Mind | Dr. Sam Harris
@psychology
A first meditation milestone is recognizing the difference between being lost in thought and being aware of thought.
Andrew HubermanEssentials: Using Meditation to Focus, View Consciousness & Expand Your Mind | Dr. Sam Harris
@psychology
The self is an illusion in one precise sense: experience contains no independently existing observer behind it.
Andrew HubermanEssentials: Using Meditation to Focus, View Consciousness & Expand Your Mind | Dr. Sam Harris
@psychology
Look for the “I” supposedly added to your next thought. Can you find it conclusively?
Andrew HubermanEssentials: Using Meditation to Focus, View Consciousness & Expand Your Mind | Dr. Sam Harris
@psychology
Recognizing how angry thoughts generate anger creates the freedom to choose whether, and how long, to remain angry.
Andrew HubermanEssentials: Using Meditation to Focus, View Consciousness & Expand Your Mind | Dr. Sam Harris
@psychology
In noisy rooms, people can track multiple conversations at once, but some brains do it better than others.
Jake CurrieSome People Are Better at Eavesdropping Than Others
@psychology
Researchers used EEG while participants switched between two simultaneous TED Talks through background noise.
Jake CurrieSome People Are Better at Eavesdropping Than Others
@psychology
When competing conversations overlap in attention, they leave a distinctive signature in EEG readings.
Jake CurrieSome People Are Better at Eavesdropping Than Others
@psychology
Natural differences in overlapping attention may explain why some people navigate busy social environments and eavesdrop more effectively.
Jake CurrieSome People Are Better at Eavesdropping Than Others
@psychology
Your attention can reach a new speaker before leaving the old one, briefly representing both conversations at once.
Jake CurrieSome People Are Better at Eavesdropping Than Others
@psychology
Growth often means outgrowing the places, people, mindsets, behaviors, and beliefs that once made you feel safe.
The Curiosity Chronicle with Sahil BloomThe Frog Pond Effect
@psychology
Growth asks a hard question: will you keep the small pond’s safety or enter a larger world of possibility?
The Curiosity Chronicle with Sahil BloomThe Frog Pond Effect
@psychology
In a 1966 study, James Davis compared graduating seniors’ GPA or local class rank, school caliber, and career aspirations.
The Curiosity Chronicle with Sahil BloomThe Frog Pond Effect
@psychology
You cannot reach your true potential in the tiny pond where you already feel competent.
The Curiosity Chronicle with Sahil BloomThe Frog Pond Effect
@psychology
Feeling incompetent, exposed, embarrassed, or last in the room is often the price of entering an environment that produces growth.
The Curiosity Chronicle with Sahil BloomThe Frog Pond Effect
@psychology
Treat beginner’s pain and impostor feelings as the cost of entry, not proof that growth is going wrong.
The Curiosity Chronicle with Sahil BloomThe Frog Pond Effect
@psychology
Career aspirations followed class rank far more closely than school quality, revealing how strongly nearby comparisons shape ambition.
The Curiosity Chronicle with Sahil BloomThe Frog Pond Effect
@psychology
The frog pond effect is real: the same ability feels impressive in a small pond and inadequate in a large one.
The Curiosity Chronicle with Sahil BloomThe Frog Pond Effect
@psychology
A lost competition does not kill an idea. Its designer can evolve it into a stronger project.
Freakonomics Radio NetworkHow a Great Architect Thinks ft. Bjarke Ingels | Better in Person
@psychology
Creative leadership is deciding what a firm should pursue and how it will win the work, not generating every idea yourself.
Freakonomics Radio NetworkHow a Great Architect Thinks ft. Bjarke Ingels | Better in Person
@psychology
Architecture is often practiced for love or artistic benefit even when clients do not appreciate the work.
Freakonomics Radio NetworkHow a Great Architect Thinks ft. Bjarke Ingels | Better in Person
@psychology
The Sydney Opera House turns an elite institution into a publicly accessible landscape through generous stairs and circulation.
Freakonomics Radio NetworkHow a Great Architect Thinks ft. Bjarke Ingels | Better in Person
@psychology
Say your ambitious goal out loud. Confession aligns collective attention and action around pursuing it.
Freakonomics Radio NetworkHow a Great Architect Thinks ft. Bjarke Ingels | Better in Person
@psychology
Personal ownership can poison collaboration when someone expects to spend 10 years executing another person’s idea.
Freakonomics Radio NetworkHow a Great Architect Thinks ft. Bjarke Ingels | Better in Person
@psychology
A powerful architectural expression stays rigorous when built from industrialized, repetitive elements instead of functioning as an empty gesture.
Freakonomics Radio NetworkHow a Great Architect Thinks ft. Bjarke Ingels | Better in Person
@psychology
Architecture carries artistic integrity and technical liability at the same time, making creativity inseparable from responsibility.
Freakonomics Radio NetworkHow a Great Architect Thinks ft. Bjarke Ingels | Better in Person
@psychology
You cannot enter Narnia the same way twice. Returning finds a different place because you have changed.
Freakonomics Radio NetworkHow a Great Architect Thinks ft. Bjarke Ingels | Better in Person
@psychology
Architecture is art when reality itself becomes the architect’s canvas.
Freakonomics Radio NetworkHow a Great Architect Thinks ft. Bjarke Ingels | Better in Person
@psychology
Oxymorons generate possibilities by combining apparent opposites instead of forcing concepts into polarized camps.
Freakonomics Radio NetworkHow a Great Architect Thinks ft. Bjarke Ingels | Better in Person
@psychology
Open sharing and countless iterations create a “primordial soup” where the strongest design idea can emerge from anyone.
Freakonomics Radio NetworkHow a Great Architect Thinks ft. Bjarke Ingels | Better in Person
@psychology
Architecture produces reality by creating the world people inhabit, rather than merely reflecting or commenting on it.
Freakonomics Radio NetworkHow a Great Architect Thinks ft. Bjarke Ingels | Better in Person
@psychology
Utopian pragmatism uses practical constraints to build a small, viable corner of an ideal world.
Freakonomics Radio NetworkHow a Great Architect Thinks ft. Bjarke Ingels | Better in Person
@psychology
Put a lid on the BQE and six traffic lanes could become 10 hectares of parkland plus potential housing sites.
Freakonomics Radio NetworkHow a Great Architect Thinks ft. Bjarke Ingels | Better in Person
@psychology
Investment first impressions are not necessarily right when the situation lacks conditions that make intuition reliable.
Inc.Daniel Kahneman: Thinking Fast vs. Thinking Slow | Inc. Magazine
@psychology
Outside chess, a good move does not guarantee success, making real-world decisions far less predictable.
Inc.Daniel Kahneman: Thinking Fast vs. Thinking Slow | Inc. Magazine
@psychology
A chess player's fast decisions can be reliable because chess links moves to outcomes through stable feedback.
Inc.Daniel Kahneman: Thinking Fast vs. Thinking Slow | Inc. Magazine
@psychology
Most mental work happens automatically through System 1. System 2 steps in for only some important tasks.
Inc.Daniel Kahneman: Thinking Fast vs. Thinking Slow | Inc. Magazine
@psychology
Slowing down activates System 2 and reveals information automatic System 1 processing misses.
Inc.Daniel Kahneman: Thinking Fast vs. Thinking Slow | Inc. Magazine
@psychology
People often experience reasons for acting, yet the reasons they give afterward were not necessarily the causes.
Inc.Daniel Kahneman: Thinking Fast vs. Thinking Slow | Inc. Magazine
@psychology
A charismatic, trusted person can make confidence overpower explicit warnings about their dishonesty.
Inc.Daniel Kahneman: Thinking Fast vs. Thinking Slow | Inc. Magazine
@psychology
Gut intuition is not right 90% of the time. That reliability belongs to experts in skill-supporting environments.
Inc.Daniel Kahneman: Thinking Fast vs. Thinking Slow | Inc. Magazine
@psychology
Cognitive illusions keep feeling correct even after you know they are wrong.
Inc.Daniel Kahneman: Thinking Fast vs. Thinking Slow | Inc. Magazine
@psychology
The first experiment included 130 undergraduates, 108 retained after exclusions, and a second included 280 participants to replicate findings.
Bianca SetionagoRelying on reminders could be weakening your memory skills
@psychology
Experiments compared internally remembered tasks with one aided by a conspicuous reminder, then retested memory after reminders disappeared.
Bianca SetionagoRelying on reminders could be weakening your memory skills
@psychology
Cognitive offloading transfers part of your brain’s workload to an external aid, such as a reminder.
Bianca SetionagoRelying on reminders could be weakening your memory skills
@psychology
Reminders improve immediate prospective memory, but researchers know far less about whether they improve remembering independently later.
Bianca SetionagoRelying on reminders could be weakening your memory skills
@psychology
Reminders reliably support immediate task completion while potentially undermining long-term memory learning and skill acquisition.
Bianca SetionagoRelying on reminders could be weakening your memory skills
@psychology
Remembering without assistance may strengthen prospective memory over time, while reminders remove this desirable difficulty and inhibit durable internal skills.
Bianca SetionagoRelying on reminders could be weakening your memory skills
@psychology
The impairment reflected reduced learning, not merely the loss of reminders’ temporary benefit.
Bianca SetionagoRelying on reminders could be weakening your memory skills
@psychology
After reminders disappeared, prior users remembered significantly fewer future tasks than people who always relied on memory.
Bianca SetionagoRelying on reminders could be weakening your memory skills
@psychology
Offloading one task did not improve another task’s internal remembering, and especially explicit reminders made it worse.
Bianca SetionagoRelying on reminders could be weakening your memory skills

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